OME of America’s
most senior military commanders are
prepared to resign if the White
House orders a military strike
against Iran, according to highly
placed defence and intelligence
sources.
Tension in the
Gulf region has raised fears that an
attack on Iran is becoming
increasingly likely before President
George Bush leaves office. The
Sunday Times has learnt that up to
five generals and admirals are
willing to resign rather than
approve what they consider would be
a reckless attack.
“There are four
or five generals and admirals we
know of who would resign if Bush
ordered an attack on Iran,” a source
with close ties to British
intelligence said. “There is simply
no stomach for it in the Pentagon,
and a lot of people question whether
such an attack would be effective or
even possible.”
A British defence
source confirmed that there were
deep misgivings inside the Pentagon
about a military strike. “All the
generals are perfectly clear that
they don’t have the military
capacity to take Iran on in any
meaningful fashion. Nobody wants to
do it and it would be a matter of
conscience for them.
“There are enough
people who feel this would be an
error of judgment too far for there
to be resignations.”
A generals’
revolt on such a scale would be
unprecedented. “American generals
usually stay and fight until they
get fired,” said a Pentagon source.
Robert Gates, the defence secretary,
has repeatedly warned against
striking Iran and is believed to
represent the view of his senior
commanders.
The threat of a
wave of resignations coincided with
a warning by Vice-President Dick
Cheney that all options, including
military action, remained on the
table. He was responding to a
comment by Tony Blair that it would
not “be right to take military
action against Iran”.
Iran ignored a
United Nations deadline to suspend
its uranium enrichment programme
last week. President Mahmoud
Ahmadinejad insisted that his
country “will not withdraw from its
nuclear stances even one single
step”.
The International
Atomic Energy Agency reported that
Iran could soon produce enough
enriched uranium for two nuclear
bombs a year, although Tehran claims
its programme is purely for civilian
energy purposes.
Nicholas Burns,
the top US negotiator, is to meet
British, French, German, Chinese and
Russian officials in London tomorrow
to discuss additional penalties
against Iran. But UN diplomats
cautioned that further measures
would take weeks to agree and would
be mild at best.
A second US navy
aircraft carrier strike group led by
the USS John C Stennis arrived in
the Gulf last week, doubling the US
presence there. Vice Admiral Patrick
Walsh, the commander of the US Fifth
Fleet, warned: “The US will take
military action if ships are
attacked or if countries in the
region are targeted or US troops
come under direct attack.”
But General Peter
Pace, chairman of the joint chiefs
of staff, said recently there was
“zero chance” of a war with Iran. He
played down claims by US
intelligence that the Iranian
government was responsible for
supplying insurgents in Iraq,
forcing Bush on the defensive.
Pace’s view was
backed up by British intelligence
officials who said the extent of the
Iranian government’s involvement in
activities inside Iraq by a small
number of Revolutionary Guards was
“far from clear”.
Hillary Mann, the
National Security Council’s main
Iran expert until 2004, said Pace’s
repudiation of the administration’s
claims was a sign of grave
discontent at the top.
“He is a very
serious and a very loyal soldier,”
she said. “It is extraordinary for
him to have made these comments
publicly, and it suggests there are
serious problems between the White
House, the National Security Council
and the Pentagon.”
Mann fears the
administration is seeking to provoke
Iran into a reaction that could be
used as an excuse for an attack. A
British official said the US navy
was well aware of the risks of
confrontation and was being
“seriously careful” in the Gulf.
The US air force
is regarded as being more willing to
attack Iran. General Michael
Moseley, the head of the air force,
cited Iran as the main likely target
for American aircraft at a military
conference earlier this month.
According to a
report in The New Yorker magazine,
the Pentagon has already set up a
working group to plan airstrikes on
Iran. The panel initially focused on
destroying Iran’s nuclear facilities
and on regime change but has more
recently been instructed to identify
targets in Iran that may be involved
in supplying or aiding militants in
Iraq.
However, army
chiefs fear an attack on Iran would
backfire on American troops in Iraq
and lead to more terrorist attacks,
a rise in oil prices and the threat
of a regional war.
Britain is
concerned that its own troops in
Iraq might be drawn into any
American conflict with Iran,
regardless of whether the government
takes part in the attack.
One retired
general who participated in the
“generals’ revolt” against Donald
Rumsfeld’s handling of the Iraq war
said he hoped his former colleagues
would resign in the event of an
order to attack. “We don’t want to
take another initiative unless we’ve
really thought through the
consequences of our strategy,” he
warned.